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Is Ethereum Overvalued

James Stanley - Every Cryptocurrency Is Over-valued Relative To Bitcoin

James Stanley - Every Cryptocurrency Is Over-valued Relative To Bitcoin

Every cryptocurrency is over-valued relative to Bitcoin UPDATE: Just realised my maths is off. I posted this prematurely and the conclusion is actually wrong: notevery cryptocurrency is over-valued relative to Bitcoin. The updated version of this article is available here . I did a little analysis this evening to try to find cryptocurrencies that are under-valued relative to Bitcoin, basedon Google Trends data, with the intention of buying whatever is under-valued and waiting for it to go up. But I foundthat all of the top cryptocurrencies listed on coinmarketcap.com are in fact over-valued. The hypothesis here is that if the Google Trends score for "buy ethereum" is 50% of the score for "buy bitcoin" (i.e. about50% as many people are looking to buy Ethereum as are looking to buy Bitcoin), then the Ethereum market cap should beapproximately 50% that of Bitcoin. If the market cap is too low then it is under-valued and I should buy some Ethereum. Unfortunately, I didn't find a single cryptocurrency that is under-valued based on this hypothesis. We'd be looking for a cryptocurrencywith a "market cap over-valued factor" of less than 1, i.e. under-valued. Here's a table of my data: Continue reading >>

With Cryptocurrency, Buy The Substance, Sell The Hype

With Cryptocurrency, Buy The Substance, Sell The Hype

With cryptocurrency, buy the substance, sell the hype Image Credit: Wit Olszewski / Shutterstock The prevailing wisdom for cryptocurrency founders is that you win through hype: talk like an infomercial, parade clownish speakers around conferences, and attack critics relentlessly for spreading FUD . That approach works; many aggressive entrants have muscled their way to the top of the charts with these tactics (you know who you are). But theres another approach thats less talked about and just as widely employed, one that cryptocurrency founders and investors need to pay attention to: anti-hype. Ethereum recently fell from second place to third place in market cap. That was big news, but outlets are covering it wrong. The story isnt that Ripple beat Ethereum, its that Ethereum is playing the anti-hype game. It would be trivial for Ethereum to flex its muscle and rally past Ripple, perhaps even past Bitcoin itself. They power almost every cryptocurrency in the world and their founder, Vitalik Buterin, is the closest thing to a blockchain figurehead. But instead of talking up Ethereum on TV or making blustery statements about how Ethereum will disrupt this or that, Buterin calls token sales overvalued, lambasts bad actors, and makes statements like these: *All* crypto communities, ethereum included, should heed these words of warning. Need to differentiate between getting hundreds of billions of dollars of digital paper wealth sloshing around and actually achieving something meaningful for society. Vitalik Buterin (@VitalikButerin) December 27, 2017 Then theres Litecoin founder Charlie Lee, who recently announced that he was liquidating all of his Litecoin holdings. That action sent the price of Litecoin into freefall as speculators no longer wanted to bet on a founder wh Continue reading >>

Is Ethereum Overvalued?

Is Ethereum Overvalued?

My guess is yes! It has no real world usage so far , and most importantly, I think it's the company WanXiang , which has been manipulating the price of ether. WanXiang has been a crocodile both in stock markets and futures markets for many years, be careful. My guess is yes! It has no real world usage so far , and most importantly, I think it's the company WanXiang , which has been manipulating the price of ether. WanXiang has been a crocodile both in stock markets and futures markets for many years, be careful. All cryptocurrencies currentlyhave no real world usage. If real world usage is the only metric that would justify certain price, then all cryptocurrencies should cost nearly zero, including Bitcoin and Ripple. You're underestimating the effect of speculation. Ethereum has a lot ofprojects that could prop up the price short term (chinese exchanges, slock.it, augur, MS Azure related projectsetc.). No idea, but I am wondering whether a big dump might happen and if so, whether that excess cash will flow back into Bitcoin or XRP or something else. how much new ETH will be added to the market annually? Buy in a bull market, you can see why it topped out where it did, looks straight forward where the buyers will be stepping in on the next round. how much new ETH will be added to the market annually? Ethereum is switching from POW to POS in approx 1 year, at which point inflation will be zero or very low. When Ethereum switches to POS ETH holders will receive payment for 'staking' their ether. This will effectively result in dividends being paid to investors. Contrast this with Bitcoin where fees are collected by miners. I would encourage anyone who is interested to take a look at this page to get a better idea of the scale of development going on for Ethereum: The Eth Continue reading >>

No Beating Bitcoin In Third Quarter As Altcoins Wilt Away

No Beating Bitcoin In Third Quarter As Altcoins Wilt Away

No Beating Bitcoin in Third Quarter as Altcoins Wilt Away Bitcoin has been the best performer in the last three months as altcoins have gone off the boil. In the third quarter of this year, over the last three months, it has been Bitcoin that has impressed the most. Altcoins, such as Ethereum , Ripple and others, had their time in the sun earlier in the year. Looking at the top five digital currencies by market capitalisation, Bitcoin price was way ahead of any competitor in the last three months , with another quarter of the year still to go. "Bitcoin price is up 74 percent this quarter despite a controversial hardfork." With Bitcoin almost reaching 75 percent growth, overcoming the Bitcoin Cash hard fork in the meantime, an altcoin that was not included in this list of performers, it is interesting to see how the others fell. Ethereums rise has been almost negligible in terms of what is expected from digital currencies, it has gone up just 8 percent from $282. to $302 . Ripple has moved backwards, and this after it was the top performer through the first two quarters of the year. Ripple fell from $0.26 to $0.19, declining 26.9 percent Litecoin has done the best out of the top five altcoins - not including Bitcoin Cash - it has had a 36.5 percent rally which saw it rise from $40 to $55. This third quarter has shown an about face in terms of altcoins. When the second quarter ended, altcoins were cruising as Ethereum rose over 500 percent and hit an all-time high. Quarter three, however, has seen those investors return to Bitcoin, despite its tumultuous three months. Bitcoin has had some big hurdles to overcome, as well as some big wins. There was, of course, the fear of the August 1 hardfork, which sent the price bottoming out before it turned into a non-event. After r Continue reading >>

The $80 Billion Question: Why Are Bitcoin And Ethereum Growing So Fast?

The $80 Billion Question: Why Are Bitcoin And Ethereum Growing So Fast?

The $80 billion question: Why are Bitcoin and Ethereum growing so fast? A little over two months ago, Bitcoin achieved a symbolic milestone: After an intensive period of growth, the price of one Bitcoin surpassed the price of an ounce of gold . That seems like ancient history. The price of Bitcoin has nearly doubled since then and the cryptocurrency is currently trading at about $2,200. Bitcoin's cousin Ethereum is trading at about $180, its price increasing by a cool 1400% in the last three months. But is the rally over, or has it only just begun? And what has propelled the explosive growth in the first place? In the world of cryptocurrencies, answering these questions is anything but easy. To start, it's important to understand that Bitcoin, while still the biggest cryptocurrency around, is not the only arguably not even the biggest driver of growth anymore. According to Coinmarketcap , the total vale of all major cryptocurrencies put together now stands at around $79 billion. Bitcoin accounts for less than half of that, with a $35 billion market cap, while Ethereum and Ripple have grown to $17 and $13 billion, respectively. A couple of years ago, one Bitcoin was worth a little over a hundred dollars. Now, it broke the $2,000 barrier and is growing like a weed. The digital coin market cap is a frequently quoted number that means nothing and everything, depending on your viewpoint. If you believe that Bitcoin will ultimately replace money, then $35 billion is pocket change. But it may never happen, and even if it does, Bitcoin might be left behind. Bitcoin is still by far the most promising as both a digital currency and a payment platform. But the new breed of digital coins are very different. Litecoin, an early Bitcoin competitor, has once again taken the spotlight Continue reading >>

Ethereum Undervalued, Bitcoin Overvalued, Says Metcalfes Law

Ethereum Undervalued, Bitcoin Overvalued, Says Metcalfes Law

Although there are suggestions ethereums and bitcoins valuation is largely speculative, data analysis has in fact shown strong correlation between the price of eth or btc and Metcalfes law of network effects. Data analysis has indeed shown such correlation is so strong in any other field [it] would be considered witchcraft. Bitcoins correlation with Metcalfes law; MA moving average. Ethereums correlation with Metcalfes law The analysis undertaken by Clearblocks is not at a level of scientific scrutiny, but they propose a new Price-to-Metcalfe Ratio (PMR), which can operate somewhat similar to a price-to-book ratio in equity analysis. They claim PMR appears to be a rather strong leading indicator that accurately predicted 3 of bitcoins largest corrections when using a PMR of 1.0 as the cutoff. Using a PMR of -1.25 we can also identify potential accumulation zones. The above suggests bitcoin was considerably overvalued in December and remains overvalued, with PMR under the green line suggesting a strong buying opportunity. For eth a PMR of 1.0 accurately predicted 4 of ETHs major corrections while a PMR of -0.25 appears to identify strong buying opportunities, the analysis says. The above indicates ethereum is in a strong buying zone, but its price short term can be affected by bitcoin with PMR failing to predict eths December crash because it was primarily due to bitcoin. That might suggest either the analysis is not wholistic, or that it does not take into account short term price movements, or that the market is being somewhat irrational in tying eths value to bitcoins when their fundamentals suggest a very different story. Continue reading >>

Why I Believe Ethereum And Its Tokens Are Way Too Overvalued Compared To Steem

Why I Believe Ethereum And Its Tokens Are Way Too Overvalued Compared To Steem

In times like these with a huge bull market forming, I like to take the time to look at specific values of cryptocurrencies and try to evaluate them depending on use. Now before I get started I want to make sure the readers know that this is just personal opinion and should not be taken as investment advice. I am someone who has lost interest in Bitcoin years ago for the sole reasons that it doesn't do things it promised to be able to in the beginning. Since then I moved on to other project such as Ethereum and I have huge respect for the creator of it. I believe that the token economy around it got spammed too fast and too much in a short amount of time. With the general thought process of investors "holding" this may have caused huge over-estimates of the value of tokens compared to their usage and effectiveness in the real world. To start off, here are some of the biggest ERC20 tokens. I'm not going to lie and tell you I know what all of these do, it's come to a point where there are just way too many for a normal human to be able to follow them all. I'm sure they all have their specific usage for certain purposes and deserve a certain value, but at this point it's mainly being pushed by speculation alone. Speculation can be a good thing, but after some time if certain projects barely do anything real or are being used by real people for their designed usage, it's just another blockchain on top of Ethereum doing nothing but being a placeholder for its name while being speculatively traded on exchanges. I stumbled upon these tweets by the creator of Ethereum Vitalik Buterin after the total market cap of all cryptos passed $500 billion recently. As I said earlier I have huge respect for Vitalik, I've followed his tweets and Reddit comments for as long as Ethereum has Continue reading >>

Is Ethereum Undervalued Or Overvalued In Your Opinion? : Cryptocurrency

Is Ethereum Undervalued Or Overvalued In Your Opinion? : Cryptocurrency

No pumping, shilling, or FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt). Do not use multiple sockpuppet accounts to manipulate votes to achieve a narrative. Do not solicit, complain about, or make predictions for votes. Do not incite or encourage illegal activities. Content promoting leaks, buying/selling drugs, tax evasion, etc will be removed. No malware, spyware, phishing, or pharming links. Do not post addresses or seek donations without pre-approval from the moderators. Pre-approval is granted in only the most extraordinary circumstances. High-quality submissions are encouraged. Baseless price speculation, shilling, repetitive posts et cetera are removed. "Recommend a coin" can be discussed on the daily thread. See our Expanded Rules wiki page for more details about this rule. Do not reveal personally identifying information(PII), otherwise known as doxxing yourself. Divulging how many coins you own can make you a target of hackers and identity thieves. Do not doxx other redditors even if they engaged in an illicit activity. Report them to the mods instead. Do not steal content, also known as scraping or plagiarizing. Submitting links to blogs or news sites which are notorious for this activity will result in suspension or permanent ban. Use this tool to help determine if content is stolen or not. Idealogical posts or comments about politics are considered nonconstructive, off-topic, and will be removed. Exceptions will be made for analysis of political events and how they influence cryptocurrency. No clickbait. Titles cannot be misleading. They should accurately represent the content being linked. No low-effort content typically characterized by low character count, all caps, & banal wording. Example: "SELL SELL SELL!!!", "BUY!!", or "MOON!" See our Expanded Rules wiki page for Continue reading >>

Ethereum Trends: 2018 Predictions

Ethereum Trends: 2018 Predictions

In 2014, when then 20-year old Vitalik Buterin released the Ethereum blockchain, the crypto space was already rapidly filling up with different cryptocurrencies. Granted, most of them were mere Bitcoin spoofs but the market was slowly taking shape. Most developers seemed keen on improving on the perceived flaws in the Bitcoin protocol without offering much in the way of diversity. The ideas seemed to be the same, design a trustless payment processing cryptocurrency. The introduction of Ethereum changed all of that as the power of the blockchain was increased by several orders of magnitude. Where blockchain was hitherto confined to the payment processing arena, developers were now wiser to the fact that it could offer a lot more. From that time onwards, Ethereum has continued to grow considerably. To the casual observer, its achievements may seem small in comparison to the record-breaking Bitcoin. However, crypto enthusiasts and financial monitors know just how far the Ethereum cryptocurrency has come in such a short space of time. Ethereum has for the most parts maintained a hold on the number two position behind Bitcoin in terms of market cap. It is regarded as the most valuable Altcoin and is the basis for a great majority of the advancements in the crypto space. The focus of this article is to look at a few Ethereum price trend predictions for 2018. For all the many gains that Ethereum has enjoyed over the years, there is one benchmark that it wasnt able to attain until 2018. That benchmark was reaching the $1,000 market price milestone. Ethereum had a stellar year in 2017. It seemed for all intents and purposes that it had shaken off the turmoil of the DAO hack that occurred the previous years. In fact, many an expert had sounded the death knell for Ethereum. In th Continue reading >>

Ethereum Founder Threatens Leaving If Crypto Community Doesn't Grow Up - Business Insider

Ethereum Founder Threatens Leaving If Crypto Community Doesn't Grow Up - Business Insider

A vertical stack of three evenly spaced horizontal lines. * Copyright 2018 Business Insider Inc. All rights reserved. Registration on or use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Ethereum's founder is fed up with the immaturity of the cryptocurrency community. He threatened on Twitter on Wednesday that he would leave if folks in the space didn't get their act together. Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum, thinks crypto is heading in the wrong direction. Buterin, 23, on Wednesday lamented the immaturity of communities across the cryptocurrency market. He said folks in the space should understand the difference between enacting positive change for society and just moving a bunch of money around. Buterin said that energy was being squandered on meme-ing about luxury cars and inappropriate jokes, and that if things didn't change he would leave the space altogether. The market for digital coins has exploded this year, with bitcoin and ether the cryptocurrency powered by the Ethereum blockchain leading the way. Ether is up more than 8,500% since the beginning of the year, and Ethereum has paved the way for hundreds of initial coin offerings, a cryptocurrency twist on initial public offerings that helps startups raise capital outside traditional financial services. Autonomous Next, a fintech-analytics firm, estimates that over $4 billion has been raised via ICOs . In total, the market for digital coins has exploded from under $18 billion at the start of the year to a whopping $560 billion now, according to data from CoinMarketCap.com . Still, Buterin has questioned whether such gains are grounded in reality. He tweeted this earlier this month, soon after the crypto market surpassed $500 billion for the first time: Continue reading >>

Bitcoin Is The S&p 500, Ethereum Is The Russell 2000 And Litecoin Is Yahoo

Bitcoin Is The S&p 500, Ethereum Is The Russell 2000 And Litecoin Is Yahoo

Bitcoin is the S&P 500, Ethereum is the Russell 2000 and Litecoin is Yahoo I sat on the trading desk of a large hedge fund on California Street in San Francisco in late 1998, contemplating our position in Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO) and worried we would get another down draft before I got my bonus. The fund had owned shares in Yahoo since the IPO in 1996 at the issue price of $12.50. Shares had opened trading at $33 and traded $43 that day, and the fund would own these shares until 1999 when Yahoo bought Broadcast.com from Mark Cuban and his band of Indiana bar owners and promoters. The rest of the story now embeds itself in TV Shows like Shark Tank and other entrepreneurial quests, but the real mettle for investors was tested in navigating a market that was in the final stages of its 5-year move and was about to collapse. The dot.com bubble was a 40-year business cycle jammed into 5 years, and I was right smack in the middle of it. I learned from my days in the trading pits of Chicago, that the only thing that was important was price. Yahoo shares traded $475 in 2000, and it was the most valuable company in the world, as Cuban was plotting to buy a sports franchise from Don Snyder and become the upstart owner of the Dallas Mavericks. Yahoo made a CEO change in March 2001 firing Tim Koogle and hiring Terry Semel, and Yahoo would make a high never to be eclipsed. I tell you this story because Yahoo shares in 1996 were what Digital Currency is in 2017, an upstart over valued asset that surely only fools would own. What was this internet anyway? Why would a computer be a critical part of our life, and why do we need an operating system or a search engine, and what the hell was an internet portal anyway? Investors who owned the shares were asking these questions, cab drivers were Continue reading >>

Useless Blockstream Satellites? Omisego, Ripple In China News. And Ethereum Overvalued?

Useless Blockstream Satellites? Omisego, Ripple In China News. And Ethereum Overvalued?

Useless Blockstream Satellites? OmiseGo, Ripple in China News. And Ethereum Overvalued? I super appreciate all your likes and comments guys. My recommended exchange is CoinBase as it's so simple. Register using this code and we both get $10!: bit.ly/2hZh8bg I am including these wallet addresses via request. Your donations are not necessary! If you want to tip, then thank you! I am not a financial adviser and this is not financial advise. I'm just a humble man with a great passion for all things block-chain, even tangle. I appreciate your political take on Ripple, and idealistically agree, but realistically I think the actual real world destination with all this is that we will have a wallet on our phones that we will use like Apple & Android Pay and it won't matter at all which coins are in it. So as you have also made the point of the day to day spending being essential to "crypto" going mainstream, in this interim wild-west turkey shoot anarchy phase that we'll clearly still be going through for some time yet, don't you think Ripple is actually a very useful stable currency to help us get through? It really won't matter in the long run, it's enterprise oriented and all the traders and true believers will be into other things, but between now and then, we desperately need something stable, and it seems to me the most reliable way to make that happen is centralisation. A necessary evil? i alone have like 12 addresses, and get a new one every time something moves, and not even by choice and i only just started in BTC for a month. counting addresses as a way to measure users, is straight up retarded. I like your style. Keep the vids coming!! Super chill news. Important though. Love it I appreciate your conversational style and lack of antics. Wish I'd found you sooner. B Continue reading >>

Why It Is Never Too Late To Invest In Ethereum

Why It Is Never Too Late To Invest In Ethereum

Why It Is Never Too Late To Invest In Ethereum > Why It Is Never Too Late To Invest In Ethereum Now that you have gotten to know all you should about Bitcoin and Ethereum, it is very likely that you might be considering opting for Ethereum which seems to be the better deal. However, you might still be having second thoughts about investing in it. This article will be made up of a kind of comparison between investing in Ethereum or investing in Bitcoin. You should know however that when you make an Ethereum or Bitcoin investment, you cannot view it in the same light that you would if you were investing in an actual stock. While a normal stock is valued by how efficient its performance is, Ethereum has the ability to contain a store of value that you can trade for your everyday purchases such as buying gas, shopping for groceries and the likes even though it is a platform through which development can take place just like the internet. It also has certain aspects which are similar to those of a typical stock. Now that there is a surge in prices of cryptocurrencies everywhere, Bitcoin isnt the only one in question and it is now a sort of battle between it and Ethereum. Of course, it is not possible for anyone to answer the question of which of them is better but when it comes to Ethereum and Bitcoin investment, they both share their own amount of risks. First off, you should know that investing in Ethereum or Bitcoin at this particular point in time will be a very smart move. No doubt, there could be certain currencies which become overvalued and crash as time goes on but right now, no such thing has happened. Therefore you are sure to reap the bountiful gains long before any unfavorable event occurs. Concerning Ethereum however, you should know that you still have more t Continue reading >>

Analyzing Ether: A Bitcoin Investor's Skeptical Take - Coindesk

Analyzing Ether: A Bitcoin Investor's Skeptical Take - Coindesk

Analyzing Ether: A Bitcoin Investor's Skeptical Take 'P4man' is an active bitcoin miner and investor with an academic background in economy and IT.He has been a member of the online discussion forum Bitcoin Talk since September, 2011. In this opinion piece, P4manlooks at the cryptocurrencymarket to see if there is a credible alternative to bitcoin.Can ethereum cut the mustard? I've been following (and holding) bitcoin since 2012. I admit that until recently, I've largely ignored altcoins because none of the early cryptocurrencies offered any substantial advantage over bitcoin. At best, they were clones with a few minor tweaks, at worst, heavily pre-mined "scamcoins" primarily designed as a money grab scheme for developers and a few promoters. After seeing a few dozen of those, I had seen enough. But today, due to the scaling issue , bitcoin is in a crisis, and altcoins have overtaken bitcoin in market cap . While many will consider me a lucky early bitcoin adopter, clearly, I'm late to the altcoin party. So, it was long overdue that I took another look at this market to see if perhaps today there is a credible alternative to bitcoin or some promising coins to help me diversify my crypto investment. So, I dove in, started reading and talking to people, to see what the buzz was about. Let me be clear, I don't claim to be an overnight expert in any of these coins now.I may have gotten some facts wrong, but I'm going to give you my impressions. Take them for what they are worth. First, a general observation. Many people I talked to say they invest in altcoins and ICOs because they feel they missed the boat with bitcoin and presume newly launched coins offer them a similar opportunity. This is a fallacy. When bitcoin was launched, no one knew for sure if cryptocurrency woul Continue reading >>

Bitcoin's Biggest Competitor Isn't Ethereum -- It's This

Bitcoin's Biggest Competitor Isn't Ethereum -- It's This

Bitcoin's Biggest Competitor Isn't Ethereum -- It's This Could this cryptocurrency one day dethrone the almighty bitcoin? To borrow and modify a catchphrase from sports commentator Dan Patrick: "You can't stop cryptocurrencies, you can only hope to contain them." Since the year began, the aggregate value of all cryptocurrencies combined has surged from $17.7 billion to a fresh all-time high of $305 billion, as of Nov. 27. In less than 11 months' time, the value of all virtual currencies has risen by more than 1,620%! Mind you, the stock market, inclusive of dividend reinvestment, has historically gained about 7% per year. Digital currencies have absolutely left traditional assets in their dust this year. Leading the charge is bitcoin, which appears to be knocking on the door of $10,000 per coin. Bitcoin began the year below $970 a coin, so it's had an incredible run. Its current market cap of $162 billion actually places it ahead of Dow Jones Industrial Average stalwart General Electric. Bitcoin's biggest competitor isn't Ethereum Bitcoin isn't alone. In fact, CoinMarketCap.com lists 1,327 different investable virtual currencies as of Nov. 27 -- many of which have their very own underlying blockchain. Blockchain is the digital and decentralized ledger that records transactions without the need for a financial intermediary like a bank or credit union. With a low barrier to entry -- i.e., anyone with time, knowledge, and funding can create blockchain -- competition among virtual currencies and their blockchains can be fierce. The biggest competitor to bitcoin and its crypto-empire might appear to be Ethereum. Ethereum has the second-largest market cap of any digital currency, and it's had an even better year-to-date performance than bitcoin. Further, its blockchain is be Continue reading >>

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